Epidemiological features of hand-foot-and-mouth disease in Shenzhen, China from 2008 to 2010
作者:Zheng, S (Zheng, S.)[ 1,2 ] ; Cao, CX (Cao, C. X.)[ 1 ] ; Cheng, JQ (Cheng, J. Q.)[ 3 ] ; Wu, YS (Wu, Y. S.)[ 3 ] ; Xie, X (Xie, X.)[ 3 ] ; Xu, M (Xu, M.)[ 1 ]
EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION
卷: 142  期: 8  页: 1751-1762
DOI: 10.1017/S0950268813002586
出版年: AUG 2014

摘要
This study analysed the spatio-temporal distribution and propagation of hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) in Shenzhen from 2008 to 2010. Specifically, we examined the epidemiological data, temporal distribution and spatial distribution, and then the relationship between meteorological, social factors and the number of reported HFMD cases was analysed using Spearman's rank correlation. Finally, a geographically weighted regression model was constructed for the number of reported HFMD cases in 2009. It was found that three independent variables, i.e. the number of reported HFMD cases in 2008 and, annual average temperature and precipitation, had different spatial impacts on the number of reported HFMD cases in 2009. In addition, these variables accounted for the propagation mechanism of HFMD in the centre and east of Shenzhen, where the high incidence rate areas are located. These results will be of great help in understanding the spatio-temporal distribution of HFMD and developing approaches to prevent this disease.

通讯作者地址: Cao, CX (通讯作者)
Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Remote Sensing & Digital Earth, POB 9718-13,Datun Rd, Beijing, Peoples R China.
地址:
[ 1 ] Inst Remote Sensing & Digital Earth Chinese Acad, State Key Lab Remote Sensing Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
[ 2 ] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
[ 3 ] Shenzhen Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Shenzhen, Peoples R China